The
Iowa Electronic Markets
predict that President Obama will be re-elected on Tuesday November 6.
As of 15:00 CST on Sunday, November 4,
the
lastest quotes show the average price for the
contract predicting an Obama win was trading at 71.4¢, while
the contract predicting a Romney win was trading at 29.9¢.
This means that traders are putting the odds of an Obama win at roughly 7-to-3,
even though the margin of the popular vote difference is currently
predicted by the markets as just 1.4%.