Canadian Federal Election 2019

Election Date: Monday, October 21, 2019
There are 5 days left until the election.


Official Election Information

Political Parties (currently represented in parliament)

Other Useful Information Sources About the Election

Tools

Other Sources


Current Prediction of Popular Vote Share
Canadian Federal Election 2019 - Popular Vote Share Market (C) 2019 Sauder School of Business Prediction Markets. This is a multi-party price chart. 2 October 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 October 10 20 30 ¢ LIB CPC NDP BLQ GRN OTR   Canadian Federal Election 2019 - Popular Vote Share Market (C) 2019 Sauder School of Business Prediction Markets. This is a multi-party percentage share chart with current results overimposed on previous results. 5 10 15 20 25 30 35 LIB 32.6% (39.5%) CPC 32.2% (31.9%) NDP 17.3% (19.7%) BLQ 6.2% (4.7%) GRN 8.1% (3.4%) OTR 3.6% (0.8%)
Current Prediction of Seats Share
Canadian Federal Election 2019 - Seats Share Market (C) 2019 Sauder School of Business Prediction Markets. This is a multi-party price chart. 2 October 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 October 10 20 30 40 50 ¢ LIB CPC NDP BLQ GRN OTR   Canadian Federal Election 2019 - Seats Share Market (C) 2019 Sauder School of Business Prediction Markets. This is a parliament-style seats share chart with current and previous shares. LIB 131 (184) CPC 132 (99) NDP 35 (44) BLQ 33 (10) GRN 4 (1) OTR 3 (0) 2019 (2015)
Current Prediction of Seats Plurality
Canadian Federal Election 2019 - Parliamentary Plurality Market (C) 2019 Sauder School of Business Prediction Markets. This is a multi-party price chart. 2 October 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 October 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 ¢ LIB CPC NDP OTR   LIB 50.7% CPC 46.1% NDP 1.0% OTR 2.2% 10 10 20 20 30 30 40 40 50 50 60 60 70 70 80 80 90 90
Current Prediction of Majority Government
Canadian Federal Election 2019 - Majority Government Market (C) 2019 Sauder School of Business Prediction Markets. This is a multi-party price chart. 2 October 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 October 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 ¢ LIB CPC NDP OTR   LIB 12.6% CPC 10.9% NDP 0.0% OTR 76.4% 10 10 20 20 30 30 40 40 50 50 60 60 70 70 80 80 90 90

Predictions are based on the current bid-ask midpoint or alternatively the latest available traded price. These prices are then normalized so that they sum to 100%. Rounding is applied to predicted seats. See technical notes for details.