Canadian Federal Election 2019

Election Date: Monday, October 21, 2019
There are 31 days left until the election.


Official Election Information

Political Parties (currently represented in parliament)

Other Useful Information Sources About the Election

Tools


Current Prediction of Popular Vote Share
Canadian Federal Election 2019 - Popular Vote Share Market (C) 2019 Sauder School of Business Prediction Markets. This is a multi-party price chart. 7 September 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 September 16 17 18 19 20 September 10 20 30 ¢ LIB CPC NDP BLQ GRN OTR   Canadian Federal Election 2019 - Popular Vote Share Market (C) 2019 Sauder School of Business Prediction Markets. This is a multi-party percentage share chart with current results overimposed on previous results. 5 10 15 20 25 30 35 LIB 34.5% (39.5%) CPC 34.0% (31.9%) NDP 14.2% (19.7%) BLQ 4.0% (4.7%) GRN 9.5% (3.4%) OTR 3.7% (0.8%)
Current Prediction of Seats Share
Canadian Federal Election 2019 - Seats Share Market (C) 2019 Sauder School of Business Prediction Markets. This is a multi-party price chart. 7 September 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 September 16 17 18 19 20 September 10 20 30 40 50 ¢ LIB CPC NDP BLQ GRN OTR   Canadian Federal Election 2019 - Seats Share Market (C) 2019 Sauder School of Business Prediction Markets. This is a parliament-style seats share chart with current and previous shares. LIB 147 (184) CPC 142 (99) NDP 23 (44) BLQ 16 (10) GRN 8 (1) OTR 2 (0) 2019 (2015)
Current Prediction of Seats Plurality
Canadian Federal Election 2019 - Parliamentary Plurality Market (C) 2019 Sauder School of Business Prediction Markets. This is a multi-party price chart. 7 September 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 September 16 17 18 19 20 September 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 ¢ LIB CPC NDP OTR   LIB 59.5% CPC 37.1% NDP 0.2% OTR 3.2% 10 10 20 20 30 30 40 40 50 50 60 60 70 70 80 80 90 90
Current Prediction of Majority Government
Canadian Federal Election 2019 - Majority Government Market (C) 2019 Sauder School of Business Prediction Markets. This is a multi-party price chart. 7 September 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 September 16 17 18 19 20 September 10 20 30 40 50 60 ¢ LIB CPC NDP OTR   LIB 35.4% CPC 14.1% NDP 0.4% OTR 50.1% 10 10 20 20 30 30 40 40 50 50 60 60 70 70 80 80 90 90

Predictions are based on the current bid-ask midpoint or alternatively the latest available traded price. These prices are then normalized so that they sum to 100%. Rounding is applied to predicted seats. See technical notes for details.