The Prediction Markets research project has shut down.
All trader accounts were liquidated in December 2021.

Follow the links below to the prospectus for each market. Click on the "Markets" tab to see current prices and charts.

CA21 Election

The federal election took place Sep. 20, 2021. Markets are closed.

Recently Liquidated Markets

See Liquidation Page for liquidation values. Please watch for emails from the market director.

Welcome to the Sauder School of Business Prediction Markets at the University of British Columbia. In our prediction markets, the ultimate values of the contracts being traded are based on the outcome of political events in Canada such as provincial or federal elections, as well as other select economic or political events. Participants invest their own funds, buy and sell listed contracts, earn profits and bear the risk of losing money.

Our prediction markets are operated as a not-for-profit venture. The method of issuing contracts and making final payoffs on these contracts ensures that we do not realize financial profits or suffer losses. We do not charge any transaction fees.

The exclusive purposes for conducting the prediction markets are teaching and research. Participants learn first-hand about the operation of a financial futures market and, because they have an added incentive to do so, learn more about the political or economic events associated with the contracts. As a research project, our markets generate valuable data that provide insights into market and trader behaviour.

Participation in our prediction markets is open to all Canadian residents who are at least 19 years of age. Investments are limited to $1,000 per investor.

This web site is maintained for archival purposes only. Director and Market Administrator has been Prof. Werner Antweiler. Address: Sauder School of Business, 2053 Main Mall, Vancouver BC, V6T 1Z2.