Markets for the 2015 Canadian Federal Election are closed.
More information about the CA15 markets: >>>

UPDATE — November 9, 2015: All judicial recounts are complete, without change in the number of seats. However, there are very small changes to the popular vote counts. Both the seats share and popular vote share markets have now been liquidated. To request a payout, please log in to your account, click on "Divest", and request withdrawal amount. Funds are disbursed only upon request.

Active Markets

Follow the links below to the prospectus for each market. Click on the "Markets" tab to see current prices and charts.

Closed/Maturing Markets

The federal election took place on October 19, 2015. The related markets opened March 1 and closed October 18.

Canadian Monetary Policy:

Forthcoming Markets

Canadian Monetary Policy, Bank of Canada Interest Rate Announcement:
—currently closed—

Welcome to the Sauder School of Business Prediction Markets at the University of British Columbia. In our prediction markets, the ultimate values of the contracts being traded are based on the outcome of political events in Canada such as provincial or federal elections, as well as other select economic or political events. Participants invest their own funds, buy and sell listed contracts, earn profits and bear the risk of losing money.

Our prediction markets are operated as a not-for-profit venture. The method of issuing contracts and making final payoffs on these contracts ensures that we do not realize financial profits or suffer losses. We do not charge any transaction fees.

The exclusive purposes for conducting the prediction markets are teaching and research. Participants learn first-hand about the operation of a financial futures market and, because they have an added incentive to do so, learn more about the political or economic events associated with the contracts. As a research project, our markets generate valuable data that provide insights into market and trader behaviour.

Participation in our prediction markets is open to all Canadian residents who are at least 19 years of age. Investments are limited to $1,000 per investor.

Would you like to become a trader? Click on the login tab to create a trader account and invest money. Consult our policies and trader's guide to become familiar with our trading system.

  Director and Market Administrator: Prof. Werner Antweiler
Media Contacts: Andrew Riley, +1-604-822-8345
Postal Address: 2053 Main Mall, Vancouver BC, V6T 1Z2